Oil slides below $45 as US shale confounds Opec
Oil slid below $45 a barrel for the first time since OPEC agreed to cut output in November as U.S. shale confounds the producer group’s attempts to prop up prices.
Oil slid below $45 a barrel for the first time since OPEC agreed to cut output in November as U.S. shale confounds the producer group’s attempts to prop up prices.
Oil traded near its lowest close in a month as investors weighed the outlook for shrinking U.S. crude stockpiles against forecasts for increasing fuel supplies.
Oil headed for its biggest weekly loss since early March as signs that OPEC will continue with output reductions was offset by growing U.S. production.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says there’s no fundamental evidence in the oil market to justify this week’s selloff in prices.
Brent crude rebounded after the biggest slump in six weeks as Saudi Arabia said OPEC-led supply cuts may need to be extended past June to drain bloated global crude inventories.
Oil-producing nations are moving closer toward ending a global glut and re-balancing the crude market, and OPEC will decide next month whether to extend its cuts in output beyond June, the group’s Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said.
The oil price will rise before re-balancing at between $60 and $70 per barrel over the next three years, a data and analytics firm has predicted.
An extension to international production cuts would encourage the rival US shale sector, as it could fill the shortfall, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said today.
Crude retreated after a government report showed U.S. stockpiles dropped from a record while production increased.
If insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results, then sanity must be the reasonable expectation that repeat actions have repeat effects. What happens then, when long observed causal relationships break down? When an impressively broad OPEC and non-OPEC production cut doesn’t send prices soaring?
Crude headed for its longest run of gains this year as Libya’s biggest oil field suffered another outage while Russia signaled it’s weighing an extension of OPEC-led production cuts.
On a global level, 2015 and 2016 marked the lowest level of new conventional oil discoveries since 1952. In 2016, only 3.7 billion barrels of conventional oil were discovered, roughly 45 days of global crude consumption or 0.2 percent of global proved reserves. Globally, exploratory drilling fell by almost 20 percent in 2015 and fell even further in 2016. Russia's exploration activities, which were hit not only by plummeting oil prices but also by a targeted sanctions regime, suffered a double blow during this period. In 2015, only seven new hydrocarbon discoveries were made in Russia, three of them in the Baltic Sea. In 2016, oil and gas companies in Russia discovered 40 prospective fields, however, the 3P reserves of the largest among them, Rosneft's Nertsetinskoye, amounted to 17.4 million tons. This stands in stark contrast with pre-sanction period achievements, for instance, 2014's largest find, Pobeda, is believed to contain 130 million tons of oil and 0.5TCm of gas.
Notwithstanding that oil demand has increased for over 150 years, it will eventually stop increasing. If oil demand were to reach an actual peak, then the top might be easier to predict. As it stands, the forecast models of demand are likely predicting peak demand far later than it will be.
Speculation OPEC will extend its deal to curb output and ease a global glut is sending oil toward its biggest weekly increase this year.
Signs of growing U.S. fuel demand are propping up oil above $49 a barrel, with more refinery purchases seen helping ease a glut in American stockpiles.
Oil rose after a pipeline halt reduced output in OPEC member Libya, countering concerns that a U.S. surplus shows little sign of diminishing.
International news services now report that Japan’s Toshiba Corporation (9502.T) is preparing to make a chapter 11 bankruptcy filing for its Westinghouse Electric subsidiary. For most of our readers this news evokes little surprise. This is merely another chapter of a slow moving financial and accounting train wreck involving nuclear design and construction firm Westinghouse and its troubled Japanese parent, Toshiba. But like an old, leaky garbage scow there is much to clean up in its wake.
Crude rose as Libya halted the pipeline from its biggest field, tempering concerns about the global supply glut as U.S. stockpiles expand.
Rising U.S. oil production isn’t the only thing getting in the way of OPEC’s efforts to drain a global glut. American drivers aren’t helping either.
Houston hosted two events this week: the nation’s largest energy conference and the town’s famous rodeo. They have more in common than you’d think.
Oil’s plunge is bringing some excitement back into the market.
When the who’s who of the oil industry met a year ago in Houston, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister had harsh words for U.S. shale drillers struggling with the worst price crash in a generation.
Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said today that the country could reduce production quicker than originally expected, Reuters reported.
Oil traded near the highest level since July 2015 as a drop in U.S. crude imports signaled that OPEC’s output cuts are taking effect.
Opec’s secretary general said today that the oil industry was “heading in the right direction” after producing nations agreed to output cuts.