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OPEC

Opinion

A Saudi-Iran oil war could break up OPEC

When OPEC and Russia shook on increasing crude oil production by a million barrels daily to stop the oil price climb that had begun getting uncomfortable for consumers from Asia to the United States, there was no sign of what was to come just two months later: slowing demand in Asia, ample supply, and a brewing price war between Saudi Arabia and Iran.

Insights

OPINION: The new oil cartel threatening OPEC

When reports emerged that India and China are in talks about forming an oil buyers' club, OPEC was probably too busy with its upcoming June 22 meeting to concern itself with that dangerous alliance. Now, it may be time for it to start worrying.

Opinion

OPEC decision: how much more oil will this bring the market?

OPEC have agreed to keep the current total limit, but will now attempt to comply with it. Oddly enough, low compliance with cuts has been from members and non-OPEC signatories to the cuts producing too little rather than too much. This has not come about through want to of trying, but because some signatories (most notably Venezuela) have been unable to reach their quotas. Clearly the only way 100% compliance with the total can be achieved when some countries cannot pump any more, is by those with spare capacity doing the job for them. The UAE oil minister, Suhail Al Mazrouei who did the talking, was asked repeatedly in the press conference about how the allocation would work. He always gave the same answer - the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC - a committee formed of OPEC and non-OPEC members to monitor the implementation of cuts) will figure it out. As yet there is no plan as to how the limits will be reallocated. Presumably we will need to wait until the JMMC has met to agree on this.